Colts vs. Chiefs Prediction: Get $50 With Polymarket Promo Code HANDLE

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs hosts Sunday Night Football riding a high from their Week 1 win, while the Indianapolis Colts arrive at Arrowhead riding a losing streak that stretches back into last season. Kickoff is set for at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC, and my Colts vs. Chiefs prediction sides with the home team tonight.

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Colts vs. Chiefs Prediction Market Overview

Polymarket and other prediction market apps opened Colts-Chiefs with Kansas City favored by 5.5. The Chiefs opened the season by hammering Denver 31-10 while the Colts lost 41-23 to Baltimore. The number has climbed a full point since.

The total has moved the other direction, dropping from 47.5 to 46.5. My Colts vs. Chiefs prediction respects both moves.

My Colts vs. Chiefs Pick Backs Kansas City

Here are the reasons I back the Chiefs at home under the lights:

• Indianapolis has dropped eight straight games dating back to last season.
• Daniel Jones was pedestrian in Week 1, completing 19 of 31 throws at just 4.5 yards per attempt, the second-worst passing DVOA mark of the weekend.
• The Colts allowed 41 points to Baltimore, second-most in the league last week.
• Kansas City leaning more on the ground game has the potential to keep Jonathan Taylor on the sidelines more often.
• Jones faced Steve Spagnuolo’s defense in Week 12 last season and put up just 181 passing yards on 31 attempts.
• Mahomes looked like himself in the opener. Nine months of rehab talk has not priced back into this market yet.

My Colts vs. Chiefs prediction acknowledges that Indianapolis has covered in each of the last three meetings between these teams. That said, it does not outweigh a quarterback gap this wide in a primetime road spot.

My Final Colts vs. Chiefs Prediction

Thunderstorms and 70-degree temperatures are in the Arrowhead forecast, and the under has cashed in 12 of the Chiefs’ last 13 games and seven of the last eight in this series. Expect a slow, physical, low-possession night that Kansas City closes out in the fourth quarter.

• My Colts vs. Chiefs prediction: Chiefs 27, Colts 17.
• Best prediction: Chiefs -6.5 points (51¢)
• Secondary play: Under 46.5 total points (50¢)

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