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Home Run Derby Odds 2023: Pete Alonso, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Lead Favorites

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The 2023 Home Run Derby takes place on Monday, July 10, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA. Eight batters will be squaring off in a playoff to determine this year’s champion. Pete Alonso of the New York Mets is the top favorite among Home Run Derby odds to win this year’s event. This will be his fourth straight appearance and is a prior back-to-back winner.

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Best Home Run Derby odds available

The following table shows the best odds currently available for each Home Run Derby contestant. In addition, there are odds for players to hit the longest home run in the event. Luis Robert Jr. of the Chicago White Sox is the top seed based on home run totals through July 4 and has the most home runs since June 15. He’ll be taking on Adley Rutschman in the first round.

Despite Robert Jr. being the top seed, Pete Alonso is the general top favorite at most sportsbooks. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the sixth seed, but is offered as the second-highest favorite. He’ll be in a very intriguing matchup with Mookie Betts in the first round. Other players in the field include Adolis Garcia, Randy Arozarena, and Julio Rodriguez.

In terms of the longest home run hit, Guerrero Jr. and Alonso are flipped among the top favorites. Vlad’s exit velocity is at 94.3 this season, putting him within the top two percent of MLB players. Last season, he launched a 467-foot blast that stands as the longest home run of his career.

Get more odds on Major League Baseball

How to watch the Home Run Derby

The 2023 Home Run Derby is set to begin at 5 p.m. PT in Seattle (8 p.m. ET). Coverage of the event will be on ESPN, ESPN2, and ESPN Deportes. ESPN will have the general broadcast (Spanish-language simulcast on ESPN Deportes) while ESPN2 features an enhanced broadcast with additional stats and analytics.

Recent Home Run Derby winners

Year – Stadium Winner Runner-Up Final Round Score
2022 – Dodger Stadium Juan Soto (WSH) Julio Rodriguez 19-18
2021 – Coors Field Pete Alonso (NYM) Trey Mancini 23-22
2019 – Progressive Field Pete Alonso (NYM) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 23-22
2018 – Nationals Park Bryce Harper (WSH) Kyle Schwarber 19-18
2017 – Marlins Park Aaron Judge (NYY) Miguel Sano 11-10
2016 – Petco Park Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) Todd Frazier 20-13
2015 – Great American Ball Park Todd Frazier (CIN) Joc Pederson 15-14

Notable Home Run Derby facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has the record for most home runs in a single round (40) and total home runs (91) in a single derby, set back in 2019.
  • Pete Alonso has the third-most home runs in a. single round (35 – 2021 First Round). He had 74 total home runs in the derby when defending his title in 2021.
  • Julio Rodriguez is the highlight player for the event host, Seattle Mariners. Rodriguez had 32 home runs in the first round and 31 home runs in the second round in last year’s event.

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